Membership· Free beta
Free to call it. Member to prove it.
Every forecast you record here is a receipt: timestamped, sealed before the crowd is shown, locked once recorded. Free keeps your receipts. Member turns them into proof.
Nothing is on sale during the free beta and nobody gets charged. Reserve the founding price now and you hear first when Member opens.
Free
Make the call. Keep the receipt.
- The daily question, every day
- Private 0 to 100% forecasts, timestamped and sealed
- The crowd's view, revealed after you commit
- Your receipts and shareable cards
- A private note on each forecast
- Public signals and the weekly brief
Member
Founding offerTurn receipts into proof.
For the first 100 members. Locked for as long as you stay.
Regular price after that: $5 a month or $49 a year.
At launch, Member includes:
- Your calibration score and Brier score, by topic
- Your full track record, every resolved call in one place
- A public forecaster profile with your track record, calculated by us from your sealed forecasts
- Every open question, plus early access to new ones
- Your private notes shown back to you when a question resolves
- A Founding Member badge on your profile
Prices are in US dollars (USD). Taxes may be added at checkout. Membership renews automatically until you cancel, and you can cancel at any time. See the Terms of Service and the Refund Policy.
Free to reserve. No card, no charge, nothing to cancel.
When paid membership opens, payments will be processed by Paddle, our reseller and Merchant of Record. Terms, Refunds, Privacy.
Forecasting and editorial research. Not investment, financial or legal advice. No wagers, no payouts.
How the founding price works
01
Reserve now
One click while signed in. No card, no charge, nothing to cancel.
02
Hear first
When Member opens, the founding list gets the email before anyone else.
03
Keep the price
The first 100 members pay $29 a year instead of $49, and keep that price for as long as they stay members.
Questions
- What's a receipt?
- A forecast you recorded before the answer was obvious: your probability, the time our server stamped it, and the crowd's view you only saw afterwards. It can't be edited. Revisions are added on top, never written over.
- Is anything paid during the beta?
- No. Paid membership isn't on sale during the free beta and no payment is collected.
- What does reserving do?
- It puts you on the founding list. You get the email before Member opens and first claim on the $29 founding price. It doesn't charge you, store a card, or commit you to anything.
- What happens after the first 100?
- The founding price closes and Member moves to the regular $5 a month or $49 a year. Founding members keep $29 a year for as long as their membership stays active.
- What stays free?
- The daily question, recording forecasts, the crowd reveal, your receipts, public signals and the weekly brief. Making calls stays free. Member is for proving them.
- Is this betting?
- No. No money rides on any forecast. No wagers, no payouts, no markets. It's a record of your judgment.
- Can I cancel?
- Yes, anytime. Membership runs to the end of the period you already paid for.
- Who processes payments?
- Nobody yet, because no payment is collected during the free beta. When Member opens, orders will be processed by Paddle, our reseller and Merchant of Record, and refund terms will be on the Refunds page before anything is sold.